Athletico Paranaense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 2
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
CRZ
1 - 2
ATP
47%
24%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
GOI
4 - 2
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ATP
4 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
VAS
4 - 0
PAY
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
PAY
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |