Athletico Paranaense vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
ATP
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ATP
3 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
ATP
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAN
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
72%
20%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |