Athletico Paranaense vs Paraná analysis

Athletico Paranaense Paraná
85 ELO 80
8.1% Tilt 24.1%
107º General ELO ranking 3539º
21º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Athletico Paranaense
22.2%
Draw
19.7%
Paraná

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Athletico Paranaense
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
Paraná
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Athletico Paranaense
-12%
+3%
Paraná

ELO progression

Athletico Paranaense
Paraná
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2006
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
4 - 1
Nacional
NAC
57%
23%
20%
84 81 3 0
22 Oct. 2006
FOR
Fortaleza EC
3 - 4
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
30%
23%
47%
84 74 10 0
19 Oct. 2006
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
37%
26%
37%
84 81 3 0
15 Oct. 2006
PAL
Palmeiras
2 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
44%
24%
32%
84 82 2 0
12 Oct. 2006
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 2
River Plate
RIV
47%
25%
28%
83 84 1 +1

Matches

Paraná
Paraná
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2006
PAR
Paraná
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
46%
26%
28%
81 80 1 0
15 Oct. 2006
PAR
Paraná
1 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
42%
27%
31%
80 83 3 +1
08 Oct. 2006
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 3
Paraná
PAR
32%
27%
41%
80 68 12 0
05 Oct. 2006
PAR
Paraná
2 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
56%
24%
20%
80 74 6 0
30 Sep. 2006
SCI
Internacional
3 - 2
Paraná
PAR
55%
25%
21%
80 86 6 0