Athletico Paranaense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATP
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
ATP
0 - 3
GOI
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATP
37%
24%
40%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 2
GOI
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 4
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAU
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |