Athletico Paranaense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
IFC
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 0
ATP
13%
23%
64%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COT
0 - 0
ATP
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CRB
4 - 3
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
JEC
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 0
BRU
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |