Athletico Paranaense vs Iraty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 2
ATP
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
CIA
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATP
11%
20%
69%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAM
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
ACP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 2
IRA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 5
COT
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
IRA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |