Athletico Paranaense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 2
FFL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 2
ATP
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATP
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
COT
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |