Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 0
ATP
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 0
ATM
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
GOI
2 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
4 - 3
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |