Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
ATP
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 0
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATP
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 2
ATP
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
COT
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLA
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |