Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATP
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
ATP
3 - 3
PAL
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 0
ATP
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
PPE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FLA
4 - 1
GOI
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
FLA
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |