Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
FFL
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATP
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
ATP
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
40%
29%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
ATP
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
ARN
75%
16%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
CRZ
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
FLA
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
FLA
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |