Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
AMF
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
CRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATP
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
2 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 4
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 2
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
COT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |