Athletico Paranaense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATP
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATP
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATP
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 3
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
CRI
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
BAH
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
GOI
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
COR
26%
29%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAH
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |