Athletico Paranaense vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PRU
2 - 1
ATP
7%
20%
73%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
ATP
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 2
PST
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 0
MIL
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 3
DEP
23%
22%
55%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
42%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 0
DEP
21%
21%
59%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |