Athletico Paranaense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATP
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 3
ATP
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 2
SAO
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
ATP
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 2
FLU
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CRI
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRI
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
47%
27%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |