Athletico Paranaense vs Criciúma analysis

Athletico Paranaense Criciúma
81 ELO 72
6.4% Tilt 8.9%
107º General ELO ranking 147º
21º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Athletico Paranaense
20.4%
Draw
16%
Criciúma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
Athletico Paranaense
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16%
Win probability
Criciúma
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Athletico Paranaense
-11%
-8%
Criciúma

ELO progression

Athletico Paranaense
Criciúma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2003
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
29%
25%
47%
81 72 9 0
16 Apr. 2003
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
34%
25%
41%
81 71 10 0
12 Apr. 2003
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
45%
24%
31%
81 82 1 0
06 Apr. 2003
PAR
Paraná
3 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
34%
25%
41%
81 78 3 0
29 Mar. 2003
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
44%
25%
31%
81 84 3 0

Matches

Criciúma
Criciúma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2003
CRI
Criciúma
1 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
40%
26%
34%
73 78 5 0
16 Apr. 2003
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
65%
20%
16%
72 79 7 +1
13 Apr. 2003
CRI
Criciúma
1 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
22%
22%
56%
72 84 12 0
06 Apr. 2003
SAO
São Caetano
3 - 2
Criciúma
CRI
68%
18%
14%
73 82 9 -1
30 Mar. 2003
CRI
Criciúma
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
29%
24%
47%
72 81 9 +1