Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
ATP
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
3 - 0
YPI
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 3
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
ATP
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 0
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 2
LQE
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |