Athletico Paranaense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 1
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
ATP
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 0
FLA
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 2
GRÊ
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CEA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |