Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-1
Athletico Paranaense vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 0
LON
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
ATP
16%
24%
59%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATP
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 1
BRA
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SCI
4 - 1
BRA
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
ECS
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |