Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 5-2
Athletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 2
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
CCP
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
ATP
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ATP
3 - 0
YPI
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
FLU
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
BSC
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 1
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |