Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 1
ATP
48%
28%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATP
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
ATP
4 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ATP
4 - 0
AMF
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
CFC
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 1
BAH
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
BAH
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 2
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |