Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATP
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
ATP
48%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ATP
3 - 0
GRÊ
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
ATP
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 3
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRZ
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
COR
3 - 3
BOT
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |