Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATP
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ATP
5 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 3
ATP
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PPE
2 - 3
ATP
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATP
6 - 1
CRI
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 2
COR
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |