Athletico Paranaense vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATP
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ATP
4 - 2
SAO
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 2
FLU
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
45%
23%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 4
ATP
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
OPE
2 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
OPE
4 - 3
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPE
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
OPE
2 - 0
BOL
45%
24%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 1
RPO
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |