Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 4-1
Athletico Paranaense vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SCI
2 - 2
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 3
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 2
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 0
BRA
48%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 2
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAU
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
GOD
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 2
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
RIE
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |