Athletico Paranaense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATP
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 0
ATP
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 1
FFL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 4
VAS
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ATM
5 - 2
COR
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
ATM
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 2
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
GOI
3 - 2
ATM
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |