Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATP
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2000 |
EME
0 - 0
ATP
31%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATP
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
BVS
1 - 0
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
ATM
6 - 0
COB
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
BVS
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |