Athletico Paranaense vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 0
EME
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
0 - 3
ATP
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
ATP
3 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
0 - 3
ATP
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |