Athletico Paranaense vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATP
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CIA
0 - 1
ATP
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
ATP
18%
24%
59%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
CCR
88%
9%
2%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
ATP
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
4 - 0
ACP
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
OPE
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
4 - 2
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
CIA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |