Atlético Paraná vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 3
PAR
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
LBC
76%
16%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
GYT
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 0
SPB
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
GYT
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
SPB
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 0
BUC
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |