Atlético Paraná vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAR
63%
22%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
GIM
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TEX
2 - 0
PAR
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 2
CFE
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 0
TEX
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
SOL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SOL
3 - 1
SAR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
SOL
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |