Atlético Paraná vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.9%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CCS
1 - 2
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
IRV
24%
29%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BUC
3 - 1
PAR
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 2
JUV
67%
22%
11%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
IRV
0 - 2
PAT
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
GAF
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAT
38%
30%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 0
RSA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |