Atlético Paraná vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
GBR
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BRO
3 - 2
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
DAL
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
DAL
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 1
FER
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
CSE
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 1
FER
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SMA
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |