Atlético Paraná vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CFE
1 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 1
SOL
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAR
63%
22%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 0
FER
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ARG
31%
32%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COL
1 - 0
FER
62%
24%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
GAF
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 1
FER
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |