Atlético Paraná vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
IRV
1 - 1
PAR
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
BUC
30%
27%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
CCS
1 - 2
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 3
ALM
35%
31%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
PAR
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
5 - 0
DAL
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
DHA
0 - 0
RSA
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
CSE
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
CDN
0 - 1
RSA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
SMA
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |