Atlético Paraná vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SLP
2 - 0
PAR
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 2
DHA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
GIM
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DPR
2 - 1
GIM
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 1
DPR
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
DPR
0 - 0
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CCS
1 - 1
DPR
73%
19%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DPR
5 - 2
SPB
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |