Atlético Paraná vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
RSA
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
INS
16%
26%
58%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSE
3 - 2
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
RSA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
INS
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
GBR
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ATT
2 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAL
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |