Atlético Ouriense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
1 - 2
ELE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAT
4 - 0
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |