Atlético Ottawa vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
8º
6º
38
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATO
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 3
ATO
28%
23%
50%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FUE
3 - 1
ATO
16%
20%
64%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
GET
91%
7%
1%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 2
VAN
83%
13%
4%
|
63 | 6 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
VAN
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 6 | 56 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
VAL
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ATO
2 - 2
YOR
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
YOR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |