Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
4º
2º
27
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 3.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
ATO
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 3
ATO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
4 - 1
ATO
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
VAN
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 2
FOR
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
PAC
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 73 | 43 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 2
VAN
70%
19%
10%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
CAV
21%
26%
54%
|
30 | 73 | 43 | 0 |