Atlético Ottawa vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
2º
23
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
77% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
5% | 12.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 3
ATO
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 1
PAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 3
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
ATO
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
YOR
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAV
24%
26%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
YOR
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
PAC
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |