Atlético Ottawa vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
1º
17
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 42 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 41 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 39 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 30 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 28 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
8º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
87% | 53.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
10% | 24.5% |
|
Next round
|
2.5% | 17.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
0.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATO
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
ATO
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ATO
7 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
VAN
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 22 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |