At. Nacional vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
POR
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
59%
26%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 2
SCI
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
56%
28%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAN
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |