At. Nacional vs Valencia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAC
24%
21%
55%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 3
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1972 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
VAL
0 - 1
POR
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIL
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 74 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAC
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 73 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1972 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
VAL
87%
8%
5%
|
32 | 83 | 51 | -1 |