At. Nacional vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
7 - 1
PAT
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
ENV
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
CUR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 0
UCO
35%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
NUB
0 - 1
UCO
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 2
COL
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |