At. Nacional vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NAC
0 - 2
SAO
47%
29%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAO
46%
29%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
MIL
5 - 1
UCO
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1995 |
UCH
4 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1993 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAO
52%
27%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1993 |
SAO
5 - 1
UCO
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1993 |
AME
2 - 2
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |