At. Nacional vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
SBO
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1991 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1991 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1992 |
AME
1 - 0
SPC
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
COL
2 - 0
SPC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 0
SPC
64%
20%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1990 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |