Libertadores Supercup Semi-finals
Global 2-2
At. Nacional vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
25.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1993 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1993 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAO
27%
33%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
47%
29%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |