At. Nacional vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFE
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
3 - 0
JAG
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
SFE
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SFE
2 - 1
ONC
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFE
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SFE
0 - 1
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |