At. Nacional vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 1
ONC
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 0
HUI
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HUI
3 - 3
SFE
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |